Hype Cycle

Mentioned by the Following


Nasdaq Stock Exchange
General Electric
Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency
Money Map Press
Discovery Institute


Bill Gates
Jeff Brown
Thomas Edison
Christian Olsen
Tim Ferriss
Dave Lashmet
Dave Fessler
Steve Sjuggerud
Michael Robinson
Sam Volkering
Ryan Duffy


The Roaring 2000s: Building the Wealth and Lifestyle
True Wealth
Stansberry Innovations Report
Cabot Small Cap Confidential
Wall Street’s Best Investments
The Dividend Machine
Lightning Trend Trader
Fidelity Sector Investor
Nova X Report
Radical Technology Profits
Private Briefing
The Buyback Letter Standard Edition
Daily Brew
Emerging Tech Brew


Electronic Trading


An observation by Intel co-founder Gordon Moore that the number of transistors on a chip doubles every year while the costs drop by half

  • Technology curves have been accelerating over time (technology is adopted faster)
  • Fear of Missing Out if high in the tech sector - things move so fast

Frameworks To Help Understand Tech:

  • Creative Desstruction (1942 - Chumpeter)
  • S-Curve of Innovation (Rogers 1962) - cycles of innovation
  • Macro-Myopia (Saffo 1985)
    • we have a tendency to overestimate the short-term benefits of a technology and undersestimate the long-term benefits
  • Technology Chasm (Moore 1991)
    • Technologys have to cross a chasm after early adopters in order to get main stream acceptance
  • Hype Cycle (Gartner 1995)
    • Charts out a typical curve of technology adoption