Publications

Geopolitical Alpha

Type
Link
Cost
Paid
Published
2020
Full Name
Geopolitical Alpha: An Investment Framework for Predicting the Future

Geopolitical Alpha provides readers with an original and compelling approach to forecasting the future while beating the markets. In this book, investment strategist and geopolitical analyst Marko Papic offers a novel framework for navigating the complexities of geopolitical risks ang generating investment-relevant insights. The author utilizes a wide variety of examples from the past decade to illustrate how one can use his constraint framework to generate geopolitical alpha, suggesting that investors should focus exclusively on the measurable, material constraints facing policymakers. An ideal choice for investors, C-suite executives, and investment professionals, Geopolitical Alpha belongs on the shelf of anyone interested in the intersection of geopolitics, economics, and finance.

THE BOOK DISCUSSES:

  • What paradigm shifts will drive investment returns over the next decade

  • Why investment and corporate professionals can no longer treat geopolitics as an exogenous risk

  • How to ignore the media and focus on what drives market narratives that generate returns


PRAISE FOR THE BOOK

"... He has written a remarkable book, Geopolitical Alpha, because he generally sees political risk analysts bungling it in terms of their analysis and strategic planning. This is a 'must read' for those interested in global investing and American leadership."

―Mark Brzezinski, United States Ambassador (retd.)


"Geopolitical Alpha is quite literally a bookend for a new paradigm in global markets. Geopolitics is now as relevant to investors as macroeconomics and central banking were in the last paradigm."

―Alan Howard, Founder, Brevan Howard Asset Management


"... For both traders looking to find the next traders or policymakers looking to make better policy, Geopolitical Alpha can help you to better understand how our world works and how to operationalize that understanding."

―Mark Haefele, Chief Investment Officer, UBS


"A thought-provoking geopolitical tour d'horizon that should be considered when we discuss the future of a world in disorder. Only the best books create vehement applause and protest alike. Marko Papic has laid the groundwork for both reactions. Therefore, read it!"

―Karl-Theodor zu Guttenberg, Chairman, Spitzberg Partners; former German Minister of Defense


"Like Tetlock and Gardner's epic work Superforecasting, Marko Papic's Geopolitical Alpha is an important addition to the field of prediction science. Papic's constraint framework is a new powerful tool for an investor's arsenal."

―Joseph Dowling, CEO, Brown University Endowment


"Marko brings geopolitics to life through a very helpful practical framework presented with key insights and wit."

―Stephen Gilmore, Chief Investment Officer, New Zealand Superannuation Fund


"Marko's approach is especially relevant at this juncture. The big shifts he cites are real and highly consequential for institutional investors like us. In fact, gaining the right perspective on them today might mean the difference between future success and failure."

―Ziad Hindo, Chief Investment Officer, Ontario Teachers' Pension Plan